The trade tension between the US and China is benefiting India. American buyers are looking toward Indian suppliers, improving India’s prospect for better engagement with the world. We have free trade agreements (FTAs) with Australia, the UAE, and have just concluded an expansive FTA with the United Kingdom. An interim trade deal with the US is also imminent.
Our increasing economic and commercial engagement with the wider world dramatically increases the market for Indian products. Reduction in import duties will impart competitiveness for Indian manufacturers and boost their overall productivity. India has already undertaken a number of structural reforms, and a lot more are in the pipeline.
Though there will be resistance to reforms by vested interest groups, and the success of government will be measured in how deftly it manages to blunt political opposition to the reform agenda. Other countries in the world are also trying to capture the opportunities arising from trade disruptions. India will need to be extremely agile to be able to emerge as a winner.
In the recent standoff with Pakistan, India has demonstrated its intent as well as the ability to punish the purveyors of terrorism. It has made it clear that no place in Pakistan is outside the reach of Indian armed forces. We have been able to destroy Pakistan-sponsored core terrorist group infrastructure, situated deep inside Pakistan, at nine places.
During Operation Sindoor, India destroyed and destabilised Pakistani defences at places like Lahore, Karachi, and Rawalpindi. India’s targeted strikes on have decisively shifted regional military dynamics. These pre-emptive attacks, carried out with precision, have dismantled Pakistan’s ability to maintain any air superiority, and any meaningful counter-response from these bases having critical function, inflicting psychological and strategic damage to the Pakistani military establishment.
The successful neutralising of Pakistan’s military aerial intrusions, and our ability to defend Indian airspace, is also evident. At the same time, India’s repeated declarations that our actions were non-escalatory in nature gave Pakistan enough opportunity to off-ramp, ensuring global support for our actions.
Prime Minister Shri Narendra Modi ji said that terrorism and talks, and terrorism and trade, cannot go together. He added that any future talk with Pakistan will be on Pak-Occupied Kashmir (PoK) and state-sponsored terrorism only. The emphatic statement that any terrorist action will be considered an ‘act of war’, and keeping the Indus Water Treaty in abeyance, shows a clear policy shift in our dealing with Pakistan.
An issue at hand is also how a regional conflict with an adversary that is in a dire state—of unstable economy, multiple state actors within the ruling establishment, and civic unrest from Baluchistan and Punjab province uprisings—can impact us.
Even so, the world over, it is acknowledged that India is the most compelling story of the present era, attracting huge global investments, and we must not squander this opportunity.
Prime Minister Modi’s engagement with global leadership and at international platforms has been exemplary. His interventions in the Ukraine-Russia war, and the that “this is not an era of war” to President Putin, have been very well appreciated across the world. The success of the G20 has established ‘Brand India’. Our US engagement shows the finesse of a mature diplomacy and a mutuality of interests. India’s straight and frank talks with European nations about preaching and practising democracy, or dealing with oil sanctions, come from clear vision and inner strength. India now acts and talks like a global leader, and as our economy grows bigger, our say in global affairs will increase even more.
The stage is set for India to assume strong leadership status at the global level, but it needs to do a lot of work on many fronts domestically. India has to grow its GDP at over 8 per cent per annum on a sustained basis, something that has never been achieved in the country till now. Our tryst with destiny, and opportune time is here; whether we the people of India, and our politics, will rise to the occasion, only time will tell.
(Edited by Asavari Singh)